Week 7
217 picks across 60 games| Game · most picked first | EM+136-4+7.1u | RS+126-4+6.1u | PA+115-5+5u | DA+108-2+3u | BE+8.54-6−1.5u | CL+84-6−1u | MM+84-6−1u | SG+84-5-1−3.6u | AU+22-8−13u |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Mississippi State+14.5 LSU-14.5031 | MSST | MSST | MSST | LSU | MSST |
● Lock — triple weight★ Upset Special — takes no pick slotABC Benched — graded, but scored nothingA head's points, record and units come from the graded week, not from summing its column
How the week added up
Every counted pick above, priced. The totals are the graded week's own, not a sum of the grid — benched picks fill a cell and reach neither column.
Points — what earned them
| Player | Picks won×1 | Pushed×0.5 | Locks won×3 | Upsetmoneyline | Pointstotal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| emtrujil22 | 4+4 | — |
Claude's notes
- MSST We hold +14.5 with the market at 14, and SP+ only has LSU by 11.6. The risk is Kamario Taylor's foot; ESPN says his status is in flux.
- SMU We hold -8.5 with the book already at -9.5, and 87% of the money is on SMU from 54% of the tickets. Virginia comes to Dallas without CB Omillio Agard (torn ACL) to face Kevin Jennings (1,588 yards, 14 TDs in five games), and SMU is off a bye.
- MEM SP+ makes this 12.7, and Tulane still has no settled quarterback. Memphis leads the conference with 15 sacks to Tulane's 5.
- PUR Washington's Demond Williams is doubtful with a rib injury, Jedd Fisch doesn't expect him to play, and the Huskies have lost three straight. Purdue just beat Minnesota 41-13, and 87% of the money is on the Boilers from 38% of the tickets.
- UNC The hook over 3 is the most valuable half point on the board, and the market is already at +3. UNC just won at Pitt.
- UTAH Utah is 5-0 ATS and has won every game by 14 or more; Colorado has lost three straight by 10 or more. SP+ says 23.4.
- NEB Oregon is likely without Dante Moore again, and Dylan Raiola went 6-for-19 for 43 yards and two picks in the home loss to UCLA. Nebraska is 6-0 ATS, we get the hook over 7, and 95% of the handle is on the Huskers.
- ECU SP+ has East Carolina by 9, and 87% of the money agrees from half the tickets. UAB just lost 38-13 to Memphis.
- PSU Michigan is 0-4 ATS as a favorite this year and the total is 42.5, so 6.5 is a lot of points in a rock fight. 96% of the handle is on Penn State.
- UNM The Lobos are 5-0 ATS and come off a bye; Hawai'i is 1-5 and scored 12 against Arizona State last week. SP+ says 22.7.
